Southwestern Athletic
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
226 Prairie View 100.0%   16   17 - 13 14 - 4 17 - 13 14 - 4 -3.8      -4.4 287 +0.7 151 73.9 59 -3.8 228 -3.9 1
261 Southern 0.0%   15 - 15 13 - 5 15 - 15 13 - 5 -5.9      -4.0 276 -1.9 235 65.9 258 -6.6 274 -5.4 2
287 Jackson St. 0.0%   13 - 17 11 - 7 13 - 17 11 - 7 -7.2      -7.4 337 +0.1 170 69.9 147 -8.5 305 -8.4 6
291 Texas Southern 0.0%   15 - 16 12 - 6 15 - 16 12 - 6 -7.4      -2.3 236 -5.1 313 78.6 22 -5.3 251 -6.8 3
313 Grambling St. 0.0%   13 - 15 11 - 7 13 - 15 11 - 7 -9.0      -6.8 335 -2.2 245 69.8 151 -8.2 297 -8.2 5
326 Alcorn St. 0.0%   11 - 15 11 - 7 11 - 15 11 - 7 -11.0      -4.1 279 -6.9 330 72.1 87 -9.1 312 -7.9 4
337 Alabama St. 0.0%   8 - 24 7 - 11 8 - 24 7 - 11 -12.3      -11.2 350 -1.1 213 71.1 113 -14.3 339 -13.9 7
344 Alabama A&M 0.0%   8 - 22 5 - 13 8 - 22 5 - 13 -15.3      -10.9 348 -4.4 302 67.7 217 -14.0 336 -16.9 8
348 Arkansas Pine Bluff 0.0%   3 - 26 3 - 15 3 - 26 3 - 15 -18.1      -16.0 353 -2.1 242 65.0 277 -20.9 350 -20.7 10
352 Mississippi Valley 0.0%   3 - 27 3 - 15 3 - 27 3 - 15 -21.6      -9.5 347 -12.0 350 89.2 1 -20.4 349 -20.0 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Prairie View 1.0 100.0
Southern 2.0 100.0
Jackson St. 4.0 100.0
Texas Southern 3.0 100.0
Grambling St. 4.0 100.0
Alcorn St. 4.0 100.0
Alabama St. 7.0 100.0
Alabama A&M 8.0 100.0
Arkansas Pine Bluff 9.0 100.0
Mississippi Valley 9.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Prairie View 14 - 4 100.0
Southern 13 - 5 100.0
Jackson St. 11 - 7 100.0
Texas Southern 12 - 6 100.0
Grambling St. 11 - 7 100.0
Alcorn St. 11 - 7 100.0
Alabama St. 7 - 11 100.0
Alabama A&M 5 - 13 100.0
Arkansas Pine Bluff 3 - 15 100.0
Mississippi Valley 3 - 15 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Prairie View 100.0% 100.0
Southern
Jackson St.
Texas Southern
Grambling St.
Alcorn St.
Alabama St.
Alabama A&M
Arkansas Pine Bluff
Mississippi Valley


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Prairie View 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16   100.0
Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Jackson St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Texas Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Grambling St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Alcorn St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Alabama St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Alabama A&M 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Arkansas Pine Bluff 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Mississippi Valley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Prairie View 100.0% 100.0% 57.4% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jackson St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Texas Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Grambling St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alcorn St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alabama St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alabama A&M 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Arkansas Pine Bluff 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mississippi Valley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 57.4% 0.6 42.6 57.4
2nd Round 1.0% 0.0 99.0 1.0
Sweet Sixteen 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0